Arne Slott’s Liverpool have been a dominant force in the Premier League in 2024/25, but history suggests there is hope for their primary challengers.

A 6-3 win over Tottenham It means the Reds sit atop the Premier League table at Christmas for the seventh time. They have only gone on to win the title once. While Manchester City are currently in no position to fight back, that stat will undoubtedly raise a few eyebrows in north and west London.

While Liverpool turn Christmas toppings into titles at a poultry rate of 16.6%, 16 of the 32 Christmas table-toppers have been converted. However, the figures show that the Reds’ current position, as unpopular as it is, is inevitable until May 2025.

Much of the discourse at this time of year surrounds potential title winners, and City’s demise adds to the intrigue in 2024. However, this Premier League is proving to be somewhat of an oddity and fascinating storylines are emerging from top to bottom. table

As it stands, we’re looking on course for some surprise European entrants, potentially a continental debut and mid-table indifference for members of the so-called ‘Big Six’. Unpredictability spills over into the drop zone as the newly promoted struggle to compete, but Wolves’ struggles could ensure there are relegation storylines down the stretch.

Here’s how Optana Supercomputer Projecting the final 2024/25 Premier League table to watch on Christmas Day.

Agreed by Opta Liverpool. They give the Reds an 86% chance of winning their second Premier League They clinched the title after extending their advantage over second-placed Chelsea to four points at the weekend. They are six points clear of Arsenal, who Opta ranks as Liverpool’s biggest threat, having played even fewer games than their London rivals.

The Gunners are currently third but have a much better chance of winning the league than Enzo Maresca’s Blues. Opta provides Armory 10.3% shot and Chelsea Only a 3.1% chance.

Perennial champions Manchester City Ranked seventh at Christmas and with no hope of winning a fifth straight title. Opta, however, has not completely given up on Pep Guardiola’s side. Apart from the mentioned teams they are the only team with more than 0.01% chance of winning the title (0.6%).

Supercomputer backs City to rebound in the second half of the season and disagrees with Michael Owen’s assessment, made impressively before their current abysmal run, that City will not finish in the top four. Opta give Guardiola’s men a 43.9% chance of finishing fourth and a 76.4% chance of finishing in the top four.

Opta are more bullish on Aston Villa and Newcastle than Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest, but the latter pair could end the season with European football secured for next term. Forest are projected to finish seventh and Bournemouth eighth. The multiplier and domestic cup winners will decide whether eighth is enough for the Cherries to enjoy their first taste of continental action.

Tottenham and Manchester United could still finish in the top half, but both clubs will be sorely disappointed with respective ninth and tenth place finishes.

London dominate the top of the bottom-half, while Everton are set for a year of comfort above the drop zone. Wolves are 18th on Christmas Day, but Opta are backing new manager Vitor Pereira to guide the West Midlanders to safety. Wolves still have a 52.5% chance of going down, but Leicester (62%), Ipswich (76.9%) and Southampton (97.8%) are all favored in Pereira’s favour. The Saints, who just hired Ivan Juric to succeed Russell Martin, are all relegated to the second tier. Opta gives them a 77% chance of completing the bottom of the pile when it’s all said and done.

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