Japanese Prime Minister and Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) President Sanae Takaichi speaks at an LDP election rally in Kawagoe, Saitama Prefecture, Japan, Tuesday, February 3, 2026. Traders are bracing for increased volatility as the Feb. 8 House of Representatives elections approach. Photographer: Soichiro Koriyama/Bloomberg via Getty Images
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Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi prepares to lead his ruling coalition to a landslide victory in snap elections this weekend Nikkei poll shows.
The poll, conducted from Tuesday to Thursday, showed the Liberal Democratic Party and its coalition partner Japan Innovation Party could win more than 300 seats in the 465-seat lower house.
Research results echo earlier poll Japanese daily Asahi Shimbun also predicted that the ruling bloc would gain more than 300 seats.
The Central Reform Alliance – an alliance of Japan’s Cadets and Komeito parties – expects its seat count to be roughly halved from the current 167 seats, according to a Nikkei poll.
vote alone kyodo news It shows that the Liberal Democratic Party can achieve a single-party majority of more than 233 seats on its own.
According to Nikkei, the Liberal Democratic Party currently aims to exceed 261 seats, a threshold that would allow it to control all parliamentary committees and chairmanships.
A two-thirds majority in the lower house would also give the ruling party the power to override an upper house veto when passing legislation.
The election follows political turmoil last year, when the LDP lost its upper house majority and a defeat in the lower house in 2024, leading to the resignation of then-Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba in September.
The poll also comes as U.S. President Donald Trump publicly expresses support for the ruling coalition, saying he truth social post He plans to meet with Takaichi on March 19.
Trump added, “I am honored to give her full and complete endorsement of what she and her respected alliance stand for. She will not let the Japanese people down!”
Takaichi has staked her political future on the election, vowing to resign if the ruling coalition fails to gain a majority.
The ultra-conservative prime minister has high personal approval ratings; seeking conversion This popularity translated into votes for the LDP and its coalition.
Christie Govera, Japan president at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, previously told CNBC that a clear victory would reflect a person’s popularity rather than any improvement in Japan’s economic conditions.
Govera added: “Little else has changed since the LDP’s crushing electoral defeat in July.”








