Wall Street wants you to sell QCOM stock after earnings


Qualcomm’s (QCOM) post-earnings slump has revived a tough thesis that QCOM has no bottom in sight for 2026, and the market is trading it that way. After its Feb. 4 report, the stock gave up roughly two years of gains and retreated toward 2020 levels, even as it generated about $12.25 billion in quarterly revenue. That headline number failed to beat the cautious forecast, and HSBC has warned that calling a clear bottom in 2026 may simply not be realistic just yet.

This tension becomes even clearer when compared to what is happening across chips more broadly. Omdia expects global semiconductor revenue to exceed $1 trillion by 2026, with year-over-year growth of approximately 30.7% driven by demand for AI-hungry memory and logic. Within this increase, computing and data storage is expected to increase approximately 41.4% year over year to over $500 billion.

Qualcomm sits squarely in the awkward middle of these two stories. If semiconductors really are marching toward the $1 trillion mark by 2026, the key question is whether QCOM finally makes that increase or continues to lag as Wall Street continues to search for a fund. Let’s dive in.

Qualcomm is a San Diego, California-based semiconductor company that designs wireless chips, connectivity solutions and licenses technology for smartphones, cars and AI devices. QCOM offers a forward annual dividend of $3.56 per share, which translates to a yield of 2.61% which may seem comforting as the stock price falls.

At this morning’s price of around $140, the stock is down 18% year-to-date (YTD) and 19% over the past 52 weeks.

www.barchart.com
www.barchart.com

Its $147M equity now trades at a forward P/E of 14.01x vs. an industry median of 23.95x and a PEG of 3.05x vs. 1.54x, indicating depressed pricing and doubts about near-term earnings momentum.

QCOM reported its latest fiscal first-quarter numbers on Feb. 4, with a $3 billion profit for shareholders. GAAP earnings per share were $2.78, reflecting earnings attributable to common equity after standard expenses. This result was complemented by adjusted earnings of $3.50 per share after stripping out stock-based compensation and other one-time items to give a clearer view of ongoing profitability.



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